Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WWW.TAB.CO.ZA OPEN MAIDEN (For Maidens)
Line Horse
Dutchess D'Orange
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Reef 3 59.5 1 0.00 3.5 65 59 59 -6 2 Heemstede 3 60.0 2 0.25 3.5 73 60 63 -10 3 Dutchess D'Orange 2 52.0 3 2.00 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Lightningfork 3 60.0 4 3.25 3.5 73 63 63 -10 5 Hat Montera 3 53.5 5 3.35 3.5 65 50 55 -10 6 Prolific Star 3 57.0 6 3.85 3.5 67 56 57 -10 7 Take A Mulligan 4 53.5 7 9.10 1.5 52 51 51 -1 8 Cheap Thrills 4 52.5 8 10.35 1.5 51 49 49 -2 9 Welsh Starlet 3 52.5 9 14.10 3.5 58 45 48 -10 10 Top Dollar 5 53.5 10 33.60 0.0 47 54 54 +7 99 Lord Quinn 4 56.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Reef | 65 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Heemstede | 73 | 89 | 63 | +26 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dutchess D'Orange Line | 56 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Lightningfork | 73 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hat Montera | 65 | 81 | 55 | +26 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Prolific Star | 67 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Take A Mulligan | 52 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Cheap Thrills | 51 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Welsh Starlet | 58 | 63 | 48 | +15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Top Dollar | 47 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lord Quinn | - | 54 | 57 | -3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points