Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 79 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Mckenna Skye
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Belle Of Belize      4    59.5    1    0.00     1.5   78    84           78    +0
2    Crazy Blues          3    57.0    2    1.50     2.5   79    80           80    +1
3    Mckenna Skye         3    60.0    3    2.40     2.5   85    85           85    +0
4    Oh So Squishy        3    56.5    4    2.90     2.5   78    78           78    +0
5    Princess Donelly     4    57.0    5    3.30     1.5   73    80           80    +7
6    Jack's Bird          5    57.0    6    6.30     0.0   81    82           82    +1
7    Lucky Miss           3    59.5    7    7.00     2.5   84    82           82    -2
8    Purple Merchant      4    61.0    8    12.80    1.5   81    87           87    +6
9    Tupelo Honey         5    58.5    9    14.50    0.0   79    85           85    +6
99   Maidens Prayer       5    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     82           82    +0
99   Bingin Beach         3    55.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     74           74    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Belle Of Belize 78 96 78 +18 1.5 -
2 Crazy Blues 79 78 80 -2 2.5 -
3 Mckenna Skye Line 85 69 85 -16 2.5
4 Oh So Squishy 78 68 78 -10 2.5 -
5 Princess Donelly 73 73 80 -7 1.5 -
6 Jack's Bird 81 75 82 -7 0.0 -
7 Lucky Miss 84 82 82 ✓ Match 2.5 -
8 Purple Merchant 81 94 87 +7 1.5 -
9 Tupelo Honey 79 76 85 -9 0.0 -
99 Maidens Prayer - 70 82 -12 0.0 -
99 Bingin Beach - 78 74 +4 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points