Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Miss William
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hunga Tonga 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 75 -4 - -75 2 Miss William 3 60.0 2 0.75 2.0 - - - +0 3 Sesame 3 60.0 3 3.00 2.0 - -2 - +0 4 Take It As Red 2 56.0 4 3.50 0.0 - -7 - +0 5 Beira 3 60.0 5 3.90 2.0 - -3 - +0 6 Cherry Sky 3 60.0 6 5.90 2.0 68 -4 58 -10 7 Champagne Blaze 2 56.0 7 8.65 0.0 - -8 - +0 8 Fate Of Pace 3 60.0 8 9.05 2.0 - -4 - +0 9 Ocotillo 3 60.0 9 9.80 2.0 78 -4 68 -10 10 Walk Right In 2 53.5 10 10.55 0.0 - -13 - +0 11 Lady Of Fate 3 60.0 11 11.55 2.0 48 -4 38 -10 99 Mighty Mary 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - -8 -8 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunga Tonga | 75 | 78 | - | +78 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Miss William Line | - | 84 | - | +84 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Sesame | - | 78 | - | +78 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Take It As Red | - | 69 | - | +69 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Beira | - | 67 | - | +67 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cherry Sky | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Champagne Blaze | - | 72 | - | +72 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fate Of Pace | - | 58 | - | +58 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ocotillo | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Walk Right In | - | 69 | - | +69 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Of Fate | 48 | 52 | 38 | +14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mighty Mary | - | 78 | -8 | +86 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points