Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 25 APRIL FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Take Your Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Three Cheers 3 53.0 1 0.00 3.5 64 52 64 +0 2 Darling Harbour 4 58.5 2 0.05 1.5 63 67 67 +4 3 Take Your Time 3 52.5 3 0.55 3.5 58 58 58 +0 4 Chroniclesofnania 5 56.5 4 2.30 0.0 59 70 70 +11 5 Mothership 5 52.0 5 2.55 0.0 50 61 61 +11 6 Ono No Komachi 3 62.0 6 3.80 3.5 77 72 72 -5 7 Haphazard 3 59.0 7 5.05 3.5 71 64 64 -7 8 Sweet Nothings 3 57.0 8 5.30 3.5 67 60 60 -7 9 A Month Of Sundays 4 58.0 9 5.40 1.5 62 66 66 +4 10 Fire Glow 4 62.0 10 12.90 1.5 70 74 74 +4 11 Millennium Dancer 4 53.0 11 15.65 1.5 51 56 56 +5 12 Sundrop 6 48.5 12 16.90 0.0 50 50 50 +0 99 One Giant Leap 3 59.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Three Cheers | 64 | 79 | 64 | +15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Darling Harbour | 63 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Take Your Time Line | 58 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Chroniclesofnania | 59 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mothership | 50 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ono No Komachi | 77 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Haphazard | 71 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sweet Nothings | 67 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | A Month Of Sundays | 62 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Fire Glow | 70 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Millennium Dancer | 51 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sundrop | 50 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | One Giant Leap | - | 74 | 65 | +9 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points