Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Above The Horizon 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Supreme Judge 2 60.0 2 0.25 0.0 - - - +0 3 Pick A Pomodoro 2 60.0 3 5.75 0.0 - - - +0 4 Grey Warrior 2 60.0 4 7.00 0.0 - - - +0 5 Shockman 2 60.0 5 8.00 0.0 - - - +0 6 Rock Fate 2 60.0 6 15.75 0.0 - - - +0 7 Matt's Warrior 2 60.0 7 20.25 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Above The Horizon | - | 86 | - | +86 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Supreme Judge | - | 77 | - | +77 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pick A Pomodoro | - | 67 | - | +67 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Grey Warrior | - | 70 | - | +70 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Shockman | - | 58 | - | +58 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rock Fate | - | 45 | - | +45 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Matt's Warrior | - | 55 | - | +55 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points