Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 2 MAY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Fire Alarm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Lady Luck            4    57.5    1    0.00     1.0   63    65           63    +0
2    Lucky Spirit         3    59.0    2    0.50     2.0   71    71           71    +0
3    Fire Alarm           3    60.5    3    0.60     2.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Mister Whistle       4    54.5    4    1.10     1.0   57    63           63    +6
5    Light Of Day         5    57.5    5    3.35     0.0   63    68           68    +5
6    Nikes Ray Of Light   3    58.0    6    3.45     2.0   69    65           65    -4
7    Thunder Master       6    59.0    7    3.55     0.0   74    71           71    -3
8    Absolu Noir          8    52.0    8    3.80     0.0   52    57           57    +5
9    Cruzador             6    60.0    9    6.30     0.0   68    72           72    +4
10   Samthewiseman        5    55.5    10   6.80     0.0   59    63           63    +4
11   Pomo's Big Spender   3    59.0    11   7.30     2.0   71    66           66    -5
12   Million Reasons      3    58.5    12   10.55    2.0   70    65           65    -5
13   Grand Oasis          3    60.5    13   99.99    2.0   74    69           69    -5
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Luck 63 66 63 +3 1.0 -
2 Lucky Spirit 71 70 71 -1 2.0 -
3 Fire Alarm Line 74 70 74 -4 2.0
4 Mister Whistle 57 52 63 -11 1.0 -
5 Light Of Day 63 61 68 -7 0.0 -
6 Nikes Ray Of Light 69 65 65 ✓ Match 2.0 -
7 Thunder Master 74 80 71 +9 0.0 -
8 Absolu Noir 52 50 57 -7 0.0 -
9 Cruzador 68 61 72 -11 0.0 -
10 Samthewiseman 59 52 63 -11 0.0 -
11 Pomo's Big Spender 71 67 66 +1 2.0 -
12 Million Reasons 70 66 65 +1 2.0 -
13 Grand Oasis 74 72 69 +3 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points