Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 2 MAY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fire Alarm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Luck 4 57.5 1 0.00 1.0 63 65 63 +0 2 Lucky Spirit 3 59.0 2 0.50 2.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Fire Alarm 3 60.5 3 0.60 2.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Mister Whistle 4 54.5 4 1.10 1.0 57 63 63 +6 5 Light Of Day 5 57.5 5 3.35 0.0 63 68 68 +5 6 Nikes Ray Of Light 3 58.0 6 3.45 2.0 69 65 65 -4 7 Thunder Master 6 59.0 7 3.55 0.0 74 71 71 -3 8 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 8 3.80 0.0 52 57 57 +5 9 Cruzador 6 60.0 9 6.30 0.0 68 72 72 +4 10 Samthewiseman 5 55.5 10 6.80 0.0 59 63 63 +4 11 Pomo's Big Spender 3 59.0 11 7.30 2.0 71 66 66 -5 12 Million Reasons 3 58.5 12 10.55 2.0 70 65 65 -5 13 Grand Oasis 3 60.5 13 99.99 2.0 74 69 69 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Luck | 63 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lucky Spirit | 71 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fire Alarm Line | 74 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Mister Whistle | 57 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Light Of Day | 63 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nikes Ray Of Light | 69 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Thunder Master | 74 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Absolu Noir | 52 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cruzador | 68 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Samthewiseman | 59 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pomo's Big Spender | 71 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Million Reasons | 70 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Grand Oasis | 74 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points