Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: BET ON SOCCER 6,10,13 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Guerilla Warfare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sail The Sky         4    56.0    1    0.00     1.0   64    68           64    +0
2    Guerilla Warfare     3    58.5    2    1.30     2.0   74    74           74    +0
3    Obsidian             3    61.0    3    1.60     2.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Unsolved Riddle      3    58.5    4    1.70     2.0   69    74           74    +5
5    Golden Aspen         6    60.0    5    2.10     0.0   72    81           81    +9
6    Oriental Bouquet     4    53.0    6    4.60     1.0   58    62           62    +4
7    Sheets And Goggles   3    58.5    7    7.30     2.0   74    71           71    -3
8    Written In Stone     9    57.5    8    9.30     0.0   67    73           73    +6
9    Bregardt             4    48.0    9    10.30    1.0   56    52           52    -4
99   Circus Lights        5    58.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     74           74    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sail The Sky 64 62 64 -2 1.0 -
2 Guerilla Warfare Line 74 75 74 +1 2.0
3 Obsidian 79 97 79 +18 2.0 -
4 Unsolved Riddle 69 77 74 +3 2.0 -
5 Golden Aspen 72 66 81 -15 0.0 -
6 Oriental Bouquet 58 56 62 -6 1.0 -
7 Sheets And Goggles 74 63 71 -8 2.0 -
8 Written In Stone 67 67 73 -6 0.0 -
9 Bregardt 56 52 52 ✓ Match 1.0 -
99 Circus Lights - 64 74 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points