Official NHA Assessment
Race 11: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 1 MAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dancing Dora
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phala Millions 4 55.5 1 0.00 3.5 56 58 56 +0 2 Captain Efficient 2 61.0 2 1.25 2.0 68 72 72 +4 3 Dancing Dora 6 51.0 3 2.25 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Mariachi Madness 2 58.0 4 3.35 2.0 62 66 66 +4 5 Falcon Strike 2 59.5 5 3.75 2.0 65 69 69 +4 6 Time For Charity 5 58.0 6 4.00 0.0 62 70 70 +8 7 Jet Cat 9 55.0 7 4.50 0.0 56 64 64 +8 8 Samoa 10 57.0 8 5.20 0.0 60 68 68 +8 9 Prized Platinum 3 59.5 9 5.70 3.0 65 67 67 +2 10 Together Again 5 55.0 10 6.50 0.0 56 64 64 +8 11 Sakhala Is'Cathulo 3 61.5 11 8.50 3.0 69 71 71 +2 12 Si Veloce 4 53.0 12 9.25 3.5 52 53 53 +1 13 Great Barrier 4 57.0 13 9.75 3.5 60 61 61 +1 14 Smelting 7 53.0 14 12.25 0.0 52 60 60 +8 15 Good To Great 3 57.5 15 14.25 3.0 69 63 63 -6 99 Commander Of All 2 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phala Millions | 56 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Efficient | 68 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dancing Dora Line | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Mariachi Madness | 62 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Falcon Strike | 65 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Time For Charity | 62 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Cat | 56 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Samoa | 60 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Prized Platinum | 65 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Together Again | 56 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sakhala Is'Cathulo | 69 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Si Veloce | 52 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Great Barrier | 60 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Smelting | 52 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Good To Great | 69 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Commander Of All | - | 56 | 67 | -11 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points