Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: IN FULL FLIGHT HANDICAP (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Outlaw King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 O'Tenikwa 3 57.5 1 0.00 3.0 107 101 107 +0 2 Fastnet Filly (IRE) 5 52.0 2 0.05 0.0 88 96 96 +8 3 Luhamba Phambili 3 56.0 3 0.55 3.0 104 98 98 -6 4 Outlaw King 2 61.0 4 1.05 2.0 110 110 110 +0 5 King Of The Gauls 3 60.5 5 1.65 3.0 109 107 107 -2 6 Licence To Thrill 4 53.5 6 3.65 3.5 94 92 92 -2 7 Donquerari 5 56.5 7 7.45 0.0 101 105 105 +4 8 Wecangoallnight 2 58.5 8 9.85 2.0 105 105 105 +0 9 Teflon Man 4 58.0 9 11.05 3.5 104 101 101 -3 10 Roman Agent 2 52.0 10 11.75 2.0 95 92 92 -3 11 Artiste 2 52.5 11 12.05 2.0 94 93 93 -1 12 Chocolate Soldier 3 60.5 12 13.25 3.0 113 107 107 -6 13 Hithemhardsunshine 2 59.0 13 19.75 2.0 106 106 106 +0 99 Isivivane 3 52.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 90 90 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Tenikwa | 107 | 121 | 107 | +14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fastnet Filly (IRE) | 88 | 94 | 96 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Luhamba Phambili | 104 | 112 | 98 | +14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Outlaw King Line | 110 | 123 | 110 | +13 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | King Of The Gauls | 109 | 113 | 107 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Licence To Thrill | 94 | 98 | 92 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Donquerari | 101 | 86 | 105 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Wecangoallnight | 105 | 95 | 105 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Teflon Man | 104 | 106 | 101 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Roman Agent | 95 | 99 | 92 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Artiste | 94 | 90 | 93 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Chocolate Soldier | 113 | 108 | 107 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Hithemhardsunshine | 106 | 92 | 106 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Isivivane | - | 104 | 90 | +14 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points