Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RACING TODAY NOVICE HANDICAP (For Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
One Party
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Espinoza 3 54.0 1 0.00 3.0 80 88 78 -2 2 Pennsylvania 3 59.0 2 2.25 3.0 90 98 98 +8 3 One Party 3 48.5 3 3.35 3.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Theres A Light 4 54.5 4 4.95 3.5 77 88 88 +11 5 Halcyon 3 57.0 5 10.95 3.0 86 94 94 +8 6 Heavyliesthecrown 3 56.5 6 13.25 3.0 85 93 93 +8 99 Impact Investor 2 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Bosum Buddy 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 100 100 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espinoza | 80 | 97 | 78 | +19 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pennsylvania | 90 | 94 | 98 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Party Line | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Theres A Light | 77 | 76 | 88 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Halcyon | 86 | 72 | 94 | -22 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Heavyliesthecrown | 85 | 82 | 93 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Impact Investor | - | 77 | 86 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bosum Buddy | - | 85 | 100 | -15 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points