Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 26 APRIL MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
There She Goes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    There She Goes       6    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   69    69           69    +0
2    Gaelic Dancer        3    54.0    2    1.60     3.0   72    54           62    -10
3    Twice As Wild        6    52.0    3    2.50     0.0   54    56           56    +2
4    Lava Fire            3    58.5    4    3.75     3.0   78    63           68    -10
5    Kotinos              3    59.0    5    4.00     3.0   70    64           64    -6
6    Nazare               3    58.5    6    9.25     3.0   69    63           63    -6
7    Copper Mist          2    60.0    7    10.25    2.0   72    68           68    -4
8    Sahara Dawn          4    55.0    8    11.00    3.5   62    55           55    -7
99   Vitellius            5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   71    71           71    +0
99   Phala Millions       4    55.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     55           55    +0
99   Oriental Bouquet     4    53.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     51           51    +0
99   Cerulean Dancer      2    55.5    99   0.00     2.0   -     59           59    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 There She Goes Line 69 77 69 +8 0.0
2 Gaelic Dancer 72 64 62 +2 3.0 -
3 Twice As Wild 54 51 56 -5 0.0 -
4 Lava Fire 78 69 68 +1 3.0 -
5 Kotinos 70 59 64 -5 3.0 -
6 Nazare 69 70 63 +7 3.0 -
7 Copper Mist 72 62 68 -6 2.0 -
8 Sahara Dawn 62 52 55 -3 3.5 -
99 Vitellius 71 73 71 +2 0.0 -
99 Phala Millions - 66 55 +11 3.5 -
99 Oriental Bouquet - 56 51 +5 3.5 -
99 Cerulean Dancer - 71 59 +12 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points