Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Miss Paget
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Drive By 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 81 72 +6 2 Quentasia 4 48.0 2 0.30 3.5 50 50 50 +0 3 Miss Paget 4 58.5 3 1.90 3.5 71 71 71 +0 4 Cape Capri 2 53.0 4 2.70 2.0 64 63 63 -1 5 Copacabana 4 56.5 5 2.95 3.5 59 67 67 +8 6 Heirloom 4 61.0 6 6.55 3.5 68 76 76 +8 7 Magical Sky 2 58.0 7 6.95 2.0 83 73 73 -10 8 Blush Of Dawn 8 59.0 8 10.15 0.0 64 79 79 +15 9 Glamorz 3 61.0 9 12.85 3.0 72 77 77 +5 99 Spirited Flight 5 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Chakpori 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drive By | 66 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quentasia | 50 | 58 | 50 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Miss Paget Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Cape Capri | 64 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Copacabana | 59 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Heirloom | 68 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Magical Sky | 83 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blush Of Dawn | 64 | 64 | 79 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Glamorz | 72 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spirited Flight | - | 61 | 76 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chakpori | - | 64 | 72 | -8 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points