Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Tiger 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 2 Carnarvon 2 60.0 2 2.00 1.5 - - - +0 3 Time Will Tell 2 60.0 3 3.70 1.5 - - - +0 4 Bingo 2 60.0 4 4.90 1.5 - - - +0 5 Dragonheart 2 60.0 5 10.00 1.5 - - - +0 99 Bright And Brazen 2 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 99 Eight Hats 2 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Tiger | - | 80 | - | +80 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Carnarvon | - | 78 | - | +78 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Time Will Tell | - | 69 | - | +69 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Bingo | - | 81 | - | +81 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Dragonheart | - | 46 | - | +46 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bright And Brazen | - | 97 | - | - | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Eight Hats | - | 64 | - | - | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points