Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 0116811796 MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guerilla Warfare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Playboy Bomber 4 58.0 1 0.00 0.5 78 80 78 +0 2 Guerilla Warfare 3 54.0 2 0.60 2.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Salute The Flag 3 61.0 3 0.85 2.0 84 87 87 +3 4 Banha Bridge 5 58.5 4 4.65 0.0 79 82 82 +3 5 Chabal 3 55.5 5 5.85 2.0 77 72 72 -5 6 Shinto Shrine 2 60.0 6 6.15 0.0 86 85 85 -1 7 Gimme Passion 3 57.0 7 8.15 2.0 80 75 75 -5 8 Tintamarre 3 58.0 8 8.75 2.0 82 77 77 -5 9 Page Boy 3 57.0 9 13.00 2.0 80 75 75 -5 10 We Are The Logans 2 60.0 10 22.25 0.0 90 85 85 -5 11 Safe Space 5 60.5 11 37.25 0.0 83 86 86 +3 99 Spring Tradition 3 59.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Playboy Bomber | 78 | 88 | 78 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Guerilla Warfare Line | 74 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Salute The Flag | 84 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Banha Bridge | 79 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chabal | 77 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Shinto Shrine | 86 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme Passion | 80 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tintamarre | 82 | 88 | 77 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Page Boy | 80 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | We Are The Logans | 90 | 73 | 85 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Safe Space | 83 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spring Tradition | - | 81 | 79 | +2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points