Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BET ON SOCCER 6, 10, 13 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Eiger Sanction
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 American Rebel 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 80 78 80 +0 2 Instant Attraction 3 53.5 2 1.30 2.5 72 67 67 -5 3 Arlington Action 6 55.5 3 1.60 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Eiger Sanction 3 61.0 4 2.10 2.5 82 82 82 +0 5 Orange County 2 60.0 5 2.35 0.0 85 84 84 -1 6 Panning Gold 3 57.5 6 2.75 2.5 80 73 73 -7 7 Flamboyant Flyer 4 59.0 7 3.00 1.0 78 79 79 +1 8 George Handel 4 53.5 8 3.50 1.0 75 68 68 -7 9 Irish Love 4 56.0 9 7.75 1.0 72 70 70 -2 99 To The Rescue 4 61.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 80 80 +0 99 Al Akhtaar 3 56.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Rebel | 80 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Instant Attraction | 72 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Arlington Action | 76 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Eiger Sanction Line | 82 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Orange County | 85 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Panning Gold | 80 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Flamboyant Flyer | 78 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | George Handel | 75 | 85 | 68 | +17 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Irish Love | 72 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | To The Rescue | - | 82 | 80 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Al Akhtaar | - | 72 | 67 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points