Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Tough Terrain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Us Of A 3 61.5 1 0.00 2.5 78 71 71 -7 2 Tough Terrain 5 64.0 2 2.75 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Counter Attack 3 64.0 3 3.15 2.5 79 76 76 -3 4 Golden Tatjana 4 59.0 4 3.55 0.0 76 71 71 -5 5 Golden Ideal 3 50.0 5 3.75 2.5 58 48 48 -10 6 Night Tiger 5 60.0 6 4.05 0.0 75 73 73 -2 7 United Nation 3 58.5 7 6.05 2.5 75 65 65 -10 8 Worldly 2 60.0 8 7.80 1.5 76 70 70 -6 9 Turbo Twenty 2 61.5 9 8.20 1.5 80 73 73 -7 10 Gimmeathrill 3 61.5 10 8.70 2.5 80 71 71 -9 11 Rougarouin 4 57.0 11 10.95 0.0 68 67 67 -1 12 Rattlesnake 3 61.5 12 14.45 2.5 80 71 71 -9 99 Fort Red 4 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Go It Alone 4 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Us Of A | 78 | 104 | 71 | +33 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tough Terrain Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Counter Attack | 79 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Golden Tatjana | 76 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Golden Ideal | 58 | 56 | 48 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Night Tiger | 75 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | United Nation | 75 | 89 | 65 | +24 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Worldly | 76 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Turbo Twenty | 80 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Gimmeathrill | 80 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Rougarouin | 68 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Rattlesnake | 80 | 85 | 71 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Fort Red | - | 66 | 59 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Go It Alone | - | 69 | 67 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points