Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Trippi's Silk
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Force 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 83 75 75 -8 2 Circumbendibus 3 57.0 2 1.00 2.5 77 69 69 -8 3 Trippi's Silk 4 57.5 3 1.50 0.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Elsinore 3 57.0 4 2.75 2.5 77 69 69 -8 5 Billy Cool 2 57.5 5 3.25 1.5 78 72 72 -6 6 Escarpment 4 60.0 6 4.00 0.0 80 80 80 +0 7 King's Quest 3 59.5 7 4.10 2.5 82 74 74 -8 8 Palace Gift 3 56.5 8 4.30 2.5 73 68 68 -5 9 Green Planet 3 58.5 9 4.70 2.5 80 72 72 -8 10 Mighty Mac 5 53.5 10 5.95 0.0 67 67 67 +0 11 Dawn's Early Light 3 57.0 11 7.70 2.5 77 69 69 -8 12 Shifting Path 2 57.5 12 10.45 1.5 75 72 72 -3 13 Das Gute 4 56.0 13 13.20 0.0 77 72 72 -5 14 Piroshka 5 58.0 14 14.70 0.0 76 76 76 +0 99 Crowned Hornbill 2 60.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Force | 83 | 117 | 75 | +42 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Circumbendibus | 77 | 97 | 69 | +28 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Trippi's Silk Line | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Elsinore | 77 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Billy Cool | 78 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Escarpment | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King's Quest | 82 | 89 | 74 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Palace Gift | 73 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Green Planet | 80 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mighty Mac | 67 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dawn's Early Light | 77 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Shifting Path | 75 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Das Gute | 77 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Piroshka | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Crowned Hornbill | - | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points