Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Hope Is Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ibutho 7 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 73 78 78 +5 2 Masterbling 3 55.5 2 0.05 2.5 71 71 71 +0 3 Winter Waves 7 58.0 3 0.85 0.0 76 81 81 +5 4 Hope Is Power 3 61.5 4 2.25 2.5 83 83 83 +0 5 Night Rocker 2 58.0 5 2.45 1.5 79 78 78 -1 6 Lucky Dollar 2 56.0 6 2.85 1.5 72 74 74 +2 7 River Dance 3 57.0 7 3.45 2.5 77 74 74 -3 8 African Prince 3 61.5 8 3.85 2.5 86 83 83 -3 9 Mc Dazzler 2 56.5 9 4.15 1.5 73 75 75 +2 10 Benni In The Area 3 59.0 10 5.35 2.5 78 78 78 +0 11 Grand Appeal 3 60.0 11 9.55 2.5 83 80 80 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibutho | 73 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Masterbling | 71 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Waves | 76 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hope Is Power Line | 83 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Night Rocker | 79 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Lucky Dollar | 72 | 85 | 74 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | River Dance | 77 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | African Prince | 86 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mc Dazzler | 73 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Benni In The Area | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Grand Appeal | 83 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points