Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 13 MARCH FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Blizzard Snow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quasikat 3 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 80 80 80 +0 2 Blizzard Snow 3 58.5 2 0.75 3.5 79 79 79 +0 3 There She Goes 6 56.5 3 1.75 0.0 70 82 82 +12 4 Divine Moonlight 4 59.5 4 2.15 4.0 76 80 80 +4 5 Exceedingly Glam 3 60.0 5 2.75 3.5 82 82 82 +0 6 Together Again 5 52.0 6 5.75 0.0 58 73 73 +15 7 Time For Charity 5 52.5 7 5.85 0.0 62 74 74 +12 8 Golden Aspen 6 58.5 8 6.15 0.0 74 86 86 +12 9 One Party 3 58.5 9 6.20 3.5 79 79 79 +0 10 Valieva 3 58.5 10 7.20 3.5 79 79 79 +0 11 Midnight Fusion 4 56.0 11 15.50 4.0 74 73 73 -1 12 Just Jazzed Up 3 57.0 12 16.50 3.5 76 76 76 +0 99 Happy Wives 3 56.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 74 74 +0 99 Faithful Neo 3 59.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 80 80 +0 99 Maverick Queen 3 59.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quasikat | 80 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blizzard Snow Line | 79 | 86 | 79 | +7 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | There She Goes | 70 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Divine Moonlight | 76 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Exceedingly Glam | 82 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Together Again | 58 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Time For Charity | 62 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Golden Aspen | 74 | 66 | 86 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | One Party | 79 | 75 | 79 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Valieva | 79 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Midnight Fusion | 74 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Just Jazzed Up | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Happy Wives | - | 80 | 74 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Faithful Neo | - | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Maverick Queen | - | 76 | 80 | -4 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points