Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING EAST CAPE DERBY (Listed) (For 3 year olds - 3rd Leg EC Sophomore Challenge)

Back to Race
Line Horse
First Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    My Best Shot         3    60.0    1    0.00     3.5   111   98           98    -13
2    Ardabil              2    59.0    2    5.25     0.0   90    103          103   +13
3    First Wish           3    56.5    3    7.00     3.5   91    91           91    +0
4    Mister Speaker       3    59.0    4    7.50     3.5   93    96           96    +3
5    Lotus Island         2    57.5    5    9.75     0.0   95    100          100   +5
6    Honorable Member     3    56.5    6    12.50    3.5   93    91           91    -2
7    Master Forester      3    59.0    7    13.00    3.5   93    96           96    +3
8    Sakurajima           3    59.0    8    22.00    3.5   94    96           96    +2
9    Oliver Twist         3    59.0    9    27.25    3.5   77    96           96    +19
10   Coral Creek          3    59.0    10   55.00    3.5   79    96           96    +17
11   Master Incolor       3    59.0    11   99.99    3.5   76    96           96    +20
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 My Best Shot 111 116 98 +18 3.5 -
2 Ardabil 90 101 103 -2 0.0 -
3 First Wish Line 91 86 91 -5 3.5
4 Mister Speaker 93 91 96 -5 3.5 -
5 Lotus Island 95 93 100 -7 0.0 -
6 Honorable Member 93 88 91 -3 3.5 -
7 Master Forester 93 90 96 -6 3.5 -
8 Sakurajima 94 90 96 -6 3.5 -
9 Oliver Twist 77 68 96 -28 3.5 -
10 Coral Creek 79 73 96 -23 3.5 -
11 Master Incolor 76 73 96 -23 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points