Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SAT 17 MAY FM 76 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Phantom Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    My One And Only      3    59.5    1    0.00     2.5   78    70           78    +0
2    Captain Selvie       2    53.5    2    1.50     1.5   82    60           72    -10
3    Micke's Bomb         4    57.0    3    1.55     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Phantom Express      4    60.0    4    1.60     0.0   76    76           76    +0
5    Jj's Eagle           2    52.0    5    4.20     1.5   60    57           57    -3
6    Global Thunder       4    58.5    6    4.45     0.0   73    73           73    +0
7    Shake It             2    60.0    7    4.55     1.5   79    73           73    -6
8    Twice As Wild        6    49.5    8    5.05     0.0   53    55           55    +2
9    Faithful Neo         3    59.5    9    5.15     2.5   78    70           70    -8
10   Waitforgreenlight    2    57.0    10   9.40     1.5   69    67           67    -2
11   Happy Wives          3    57.5    11   9.50     2.5   74    66           66    -8
12   Mist In Ireland      3    58.0    12   11.75    2.5   75    67           67    -8
13   Predatrice           3    60.0    13   12.25    2.5   79    71           71    -8
14   Omnipotent           3    60.0    14   21.75    2.5   79    71           71    -8
99   In The Ether         6    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 My One And Only 78 82 78 +4 2.5 -
2 Captain Selvie 82 93 72 +21 1.5 -
3 Micke's Bomb 70 60 70 -10 0.0 -
4 Phantom Express Line 76 76 76 ✓ Match 0.0
5 Jj's Eagle 60 57 57 ✓ Match 1.5 -
6 Global Thunder 73 83 73 +10 0.0 -
7 Shake It 79 79 73 +6 1.5 -
8 Twice As Wild 53 51 55 -4 0.0 -
9 Faithful Neo 78 80 70 +10 2.5 -
10 Waitforgreenlight 69 67 67 ✓ Match 1.5 -
11 Happy Wives 74 80 66 +14 2.5 -
12 Mist In Ireland 75 72 67 +5 2.5 -
13 Predatrice 79 67 71 -4 2.5 -
14 Omnipotent 79 75 71 +4 2.5 -
99 In The Ether - 63 71 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points