Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 3 JUNE FM 83 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Divine Moonlight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blizzard Snow 3 57.5 1 0.00 2.5 81 73 81 +0 2 Roaming Spirit 3 58.0 2 0.30 2.5 82 74 74 -8 3 Divine Moonlight 4 55.5 3 1.20 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Hong Kong 3 60.0 4 1.90 2.5 86 78 78 -8 5 Golden Aspen 6 54.0 5 3.30 0.0 71 71 71 +0 6 Royal Horizon 3 52.0 6 3.50 2.5 62 62 62 +0 7 Kings Again 2 58.5 7 3.60 1.5 83 77 77 -6 8 Flight Of A Condor 3 54.0 8 3.80 2.5 79 66 69 -10 9 Great Notion 3 57.0 9 4.20 2.5 80 72 72 -8 10 Alabama Anna 6 57.0 10 4.70 0.0 77 77 77 +0 11 Godspeed 2 54.0 11 5.10 1.5 71 68 68 -3 12 Saigon Suzie 3 54.5 12 5.90 2.5 75 67 67 -8 13 Sigrid Swing 4 55.5 13 6.40 0.0 74 74 74 +0 14 Take Your Place 3 57.0 14 10.90 2.5 80 72 72 -8 15 Fully Committed 3 58.0 15 15.15 2.5 82 74 74 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blizzard Snow | 81 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Roaming Spirit | 82 | 87 | 74 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Divine Moonlight Line | 74 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Hong Kong | 86 | 93 | 78 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Golden Aspen | 71 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Horizon | 62 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kings Again | 83 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Flight Of A Condor | 79 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Great Notion | 80 | 87 | 72 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Alabama Anna | 77 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Godspeed | 71 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Saigon Suzie | 75 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Sigrid Swing | 74 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Take Your Place | 80 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Fully Committed | 82 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points