Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: ROYAL NATAL CARBINEERS TRUST MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Little Boy Blue 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 2 Trajanus 2 60.0 2 0.40 1.5 - - - +0 3 African Pride 2 60.0 3 1.50 1.5 - - - +0 4 Holy Star 2 60.0 4 1.75 1.5 - - - +0 5 Clintostar 2 60.0 5 5.35 1.5 - - - +0 6 Jet Blackfire 2 60.0 6 5.50 1.5 - - - +0 7 Bugle 2 60.0 7 7.30 1.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Little Boy Blue | - | 80 | - | +80 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Trajanus | - | 96 | - | +96 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | African Pride | - | 103 | - | +103 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Holy Star | - | 82 | - | +82 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Clintostar | - | 80 | - | +80 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jet Blackfire | - | 76 | - | +76 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bugle | - | 65 | - | +65 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points