Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: ELIJAH KAMBULA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
El Capitan
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brand New World 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 63 6 +6 2 Apache Ag 4 60.0 2 0.30 0.5 - 75 75 +75 3 El Capitan 2 60.0 3 0.80 0.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Lunar Descent 2 56.0 4 1.90 0.0 - 66 66 +66 5 Tee Dog 3 60.0 5 2.70 2.0 71 69 69 -2 6 Green Mile 4 60.0 6 4.70 0.5 66 70 70 +4 7 Hunters Arrow 2 60.0 7 6.90 0.0 51 71 71 +20 8 Indigenous 2 56.0 8 7.00 0.0 - 63 63 +63 9 Ubermensch 3 60.0 9 9.20 2.0 74 67 67 -7 10 Malongane 2 56.0 10 9.70 0.0 - 63 63 +63 11 Eli's Chariot 2 56.0 11 32.30 0.0 - 63 63 +63 12 Remus From Rome 3 60.0 12 77.20 2.0 - 67 67 +67 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brand New World | - | 85 | 6 | +79 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Apache Ag | - | 65 | 75 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | El Capitan Line | 75 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Lunar Descent | - | 76 | 66 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tee Dog | 71 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Green Mile | 66 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Hunters Arrow | 51 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Indigenous | - | 87 | 63 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ubermensch | 74 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Malongane | - | 75 | 63 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Eli's Chariot | - | 39 | 63 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Remus From Rome | - | 33 | 67 | -34 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points