Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: WSB BET WITH THE BEST MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Admiral Dooley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nordic Rebel 8 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 93 86 +0 2 Invincible Warrior 4 58.0 2 0.75 1.0 82 91 91 +9 3 Fateful Day 3 55.0 3 1.60 2.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Admiral Dooley 3 57.5 3 1.60 2.5 86 86 86 +0 5 Duke Of Sussex 4 57.0 5 2.50 1.0 80 87 87 +7 6 Fantastical 4 58.5 6 3.00 1.0 83 90 90 +7 7 Juan Carlos 7 60.0 7 3.50 0.0 86 94 94 +8 8 Western Fort 5 58.0 8 4.25 0.0 82 90 90 +8 9 Bey Suyay 4 55.0 9 4.50 1.0 76 81 81 +5 10 Earl 4 57.5 10 5.50 1.0 81 86 86 +5 11 Banha Bridge 5 54.5 11 7.00 0.0 75 82 82 +7 12 Wisteria Avenue 3 59.5 12 15.00 2.5 90 87 87 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nordic Rebel | 86 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Invincible Warrior | 82 | 76 | 91 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fateful Day | 81 | 93 | 81 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Admiral Dooley Line | 86 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Duke Of Sussex | 80 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fantastical | 83 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Juan Carlos | 86 | 93 | 94 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Western Fort | 82 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bey Suyay | 76 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Earl | 81 | 78 | 86 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Banha Bridge | 75 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wisteria Avenue | 90 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points