Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: MERIT RATED 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gypsy Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Octagon 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 71 68 71 +0 2 Red Top 5 60.0 2 1.75 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Gypsy Express 5 56.0 3 2.25 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Battle Of Seattle 2 58.0 4 3.50 0.0 72 70 70 -2 5 Audacious 2 56.0 5 7.00 0.0 72 65 65 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Octagon | 71 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Top | 76 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gypsy Express Line | 68 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Battle Of Seattle | 72 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Audacious | 72 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points