Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
What A Fortune
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thomas Jenkins 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 78 75 75 -3 2 What A Fortune 2 58.5 2 0.20 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 War Chariot 4 61.0 3 0.30 0.5 82 90 90 +8 4 Happy Days 2 59.0 4 0.50 0.0 82 87 87 +5 5 Run The World 3 56.5 5 1.75 1.5 77 77 77 +0 6 It Is My Time 3 58.0 6 2.75 1.5 80 79 79 -1 7 Dalmeny Factor 3 55.0 7 2.85 1.5 73 73 73 +0 8 Kebonalesedi 5 53.0 8 3.60 0.0 71 71 71 +0 9 Elsinore 3 56.0 9 3.65 1.5 76 74 74 -2 10 Tout A Fait 3 61.5 10 4.90 1.5 83 84 84 +1 11 Iconic Destination 5 60.0 11 9.15 0.0 80 84 84 +4 99 Care Taker 4 58.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Jenkins | 78 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | What A Fortune Line | 81 | 95 | 81 | +14 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | War Chariot | 82 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Happy Days | 82 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Run The World | 77 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | It Is My Time | 80 | 88 | 79 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Dalmeny Factor | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Kebonalesedi | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Elsinore | 76 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tout A Fait | 83 | 80 | 84 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Iconic Destination | 80 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Care Taker | - | 76 | 79 | -3 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points