Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Futurewolff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aladdin's Lamp 4 60.5 1 0.00 1.0 77 71 77 +0 2 Chabal 3 56.5 2 0.60 2.5 74 67 67 -7 3 Futurewolff 5 58.5 3 2.40 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Banha Bridge 5 60.5 4 2.60 0.0 77 77 77 +0 5 Rosy Lemon 5 57.0 5 3.80 0.0 70 68 68 -2 6 Coppola 4 58.0 6 4.05 1.0 72 68 68 -4 7 Sky Pillar Rock 3 58.0 7 6.35 2.5 77 63 67 -10 8 Coffeeberry 5 55.5 8 9.35 0.0 75 63 65 -10 9 Hearts On Fire 3 59.5 9 12.85 2.5 80 66 70 -10 10 Spy Story 3 57.0 10 17.10 2.5 75 61 65 -10 11 Blurred Vision 3 55.5 11 23.35 2.5 72 58 62 -10 12 Ideal Future 6 55.5 12 23.60 0.0 72 63 63 -9 13 Full Go 6 52.0 13 29.10 0.0 51 56 56 +5 14 Gimme Passion 3 58.0 14 99.99 2.5 77 63 67 -10 99 The Ultimate King 3 62.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aladdin's Lamp | 77 | 106 | 77 | +29 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Chabal | 74 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Futurewolff Line | 73 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Banha Bridge | 77 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rosy Lemon | 70 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coppola | 72 | 83 | 68 | +15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sky Pillar Rock | 77 | 81 | 67 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Coffeeberry | 75 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hearts On Fire | 80 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Spy Story | 75 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Blurred Vision | 72 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Ideal Future | 72 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Full Go | 51 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Gimme Passion | 77 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Ultimate King | - | 117 | 71 | +46 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points