Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: LEG 2 HIGHVELD WINTER SERIES 8 JUNE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Paul Revere
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sea Shanty 4 56.5 1 0.00 0.5 67 70 67 +0 2 King Of Numbers 4 58.5 2 0.20 0.5 79 74 74 -5 3 Paul Revere 3 61.5 3 2.20 1.5 81 81 81 +0 4 Sovereigns Call 4 56.0 4 3.20 0.5 71 71 71 +0 5 Dylan's Champ 3 61.0 5 3.80 1.5 80 78 78 -2 6 Clarkson 4 57.5 6 3.90 0.5 69 73 73 +4 7 Fostinovo 3 62.5 7 4.20 1.5 79 81 81 +2 8 Sheets And Goggles 3 56.5 8 4.70 1.5 71 68 68 -3 9 Pearl In Her Crown 2 55.0 9 8.20 0.0 76 68 68 -8 10 Mystic Vision 3 59.5 10 8.50 1.5 77 74 74 -3 11 Oklahoma Twister 4 55.0 11 9.40 0.5 64 67 67 +3 12 Laughing William 5 60.0 12 9.90 0.0 74 78 78 +4 13 Pretty In Pearls 3 53.0 13 11.65 1.5 68 61 61 -7 14 Kwagga Blitz 2 59.5 14 12.40 0.0 77 77 77 +0 15 High Queue 4 60.5 15 17.90 0.5 75 78 78 +3 16 New Mexico 2 60.0 16 19.90 0.0 74 78 78 +4 17 One Party 3 58.5 17 99.99 1.5 75 72 72 -3 99 Cars Big As Bars 4 60.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 78 78 +0 99 Vitellius 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sea Shanty | 67 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | King Of Numbers | 79 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Paul Revere Line | 81 | 92 | 81 | +11 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Sovereigns Call | 71 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Dylan's Champ | 80 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Clarkson | 69 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fostinovo | 79 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sheets And Goggles | 71 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Pearl In Her Crown | 76 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mystic Vision | 77 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Oklahoma Twister | 64 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Laughing William | 74 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Pretty In Pearls | 68 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Kwagga Blitz | 77 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | High Queue | 75 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 16 | New Mexico | 74 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 17 | One Party | 75 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cars Big As Bars | - | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Vitellius | - | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points