Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 6 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse

Coastal Path

Reference for assessment

Exact Matches

1 / 16

Calculated = Official

Close Matches

4 / 16

Within 2 points

Significant Diffs

6 / 16

More than 5 points

Detailed Assessment

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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Captain Tik Tok      5    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   70    70           70    +0
2    Coastal Path         5    58.0    2    0.25     0.0   74    74           74    +0
3    Sweet And True       3    58.5    3    0.75     2.5   77    70           70    -7
4    Wordsworth           7    56.0    4    4.00     0.0   70    70           70    +0
5    Silvery Surfer       3    57.5    5    4.25     2.5   76    68           68    -8
6    Sound Of The Sea     3    59.5    6    7.50     2.5   80    72           72    -8
7    Greenlight Dancer    2    55.5    7    8.75     1.5   72    66           66    -6
8    See You In A Bit     4    56.0    8    8.85     0.0   70    70           70    +0
9    Kingdom Of Heaven    5    53.0    9    9.60     0.0   72    64           64    -8
10   Resurgence           4    52.0    10   10.10    0.0   61    62           62    +1
11   War Launch           2    48.0    11   11.10    1.5   50    51           51    +1
12   Silvonian            3    60.0    12   11.60    2.5   81    73           73    -8
13   Bob                  3    53.5    13   15.10    2.5   65    60           60    -5
14   Pendragon            5    57.5    14   15.85    0.0   73    73           73    +0
15   Chief Runner         3    53.5    15   16.35    2.5   73    60           63    -10
99   Mister Whistle       4    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos	Horse	Pre-Rating	Official New	Calculated	Discrepancy	WFA (kg)	Line Horse
1	Captain Tik Tok	70	72	70	+2	0.0	-
2	Coastal Path Line	74	77	74	+3	0.0
3	Sweet And True	77	77	70	+7	2.5	-
4	Wordsworth	70	65	70	-5	0.0	-
5	Silvery Surfer	76	72	68	+4	2.5	-
6	Sound Of The Sea	80	80	72	+8	2.5	-
7	Greenlight Dancer	72	65	66	-1	1.5	-
8	See You In A Bit	70	67	70	-3	0.0	-
9	Kingdom Of Heaven	72	79	64	+15	0.0	-
10	Resurgence	61	57	62	-5	0.0	-
11	War Launch	50	50	51	-1	1.5	-
12	Silvonian	81	86	73	+13	2.5	-
13	Bob	65	52	60	-8	2.5	-
14	Pendragon	73	73	73	✓ Match	0.0	-
15	Chief Runner	73	59	63	-4	2.5	-
99	Mister Whistle	-	52	62	-10	0.0	-

Assessment Methodology

Calculation Steps:

Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA
Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)

Key Formulas:

Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points