Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: ALESIAN CHIEF (2022) CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Terminator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My Boy Lollipop 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 71 71 -8 2 Terminator 4 60.0 2 0.40 0.5 80 80 80 +0 3 Lexican Point 2 56.5 3 0.90 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Open Highway 4 60.5 4 1.15 0.5 81 80 80 -1 5 El Dante 7 60.5 5 1.55 0.0 81 80 80 -1 6 Global Movement 6 56.0 6 1.80 0.0 72 71 71 -1 7 Continentalexpress 3 55.0 7 2.60 2.0 70 64 64 -6 8 Down By The River 2 60.0 8 3.00 0.0 80 78 78 -2 9 Forward Motion 3 57.0 9 3.70 2.0 86 67 76 -10 10 Impact Investor 2 56.5 10 4.40 0.0 77 69 69 -8 11 Gurkha 3 56.5 11 4.80 2.0 77 65 67 -10 12 Lucky Dollar 2 56.0 12 6.00 0.0 72 68 68 -4 13 Ingqwele 3 60.0 13 6.30 2.0 84 72 74 -10 14 Gran Canaria 3 58.0 14 8.20 2.0 80 68 70 -10 99 Run For Cover 5 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Run To Rio 4 54.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Blackberry Breeze 4 56.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Deputy Chief 3 55.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Boy Lollipop | 79 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Terminator Line | 80 | 86 | 80 | +6 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Lexican Point | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Open Highway | 81 | 94 | 80 | +14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | El Dante | 81 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Global Movement | 72 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Continentalexpress | 70 | 92 | 64 | +28 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Down By The River | 80 | 95 | 78 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Forward Motion | 86 | 98 | 76 | +22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Impact Investor | 77 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gurkha | 77 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lucky Dollar | 72 | 85 | 68 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ingqwele | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Gran Canaria | 80 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Run For Cover | - | 70 | 79 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Run To Rio | - | 71 | 63 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Blackberry Breeze | - | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Deputy Chief | - | 64 | 63 | +1 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points