Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: LUCKY LAD (2024) CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)

Line Horse
Kotinos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Indecent Proposal    4    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   61    66           66    +5
2    Kotinos              3    59.5    2    1.60     2.5   65    65           65    +0
3    Happy Wanderer       5    55.5    3    2.60     0.0   57    62           62    +5
4    Now I Got You        5    58.0    4    3.70     0.0   70    67           67    -3
5    One Irish Rover      5    57.0    5    4.00     0.0   68    65           65    -3
6    Double Olympic       4    56.5    6    4.05     0.0   59    64           64    +5
7    Send Me              3    58.0    7    5.25     2.5   70    62           62    -8
8    Priceless Pearl      2    60.5    8    9.95     1.5   70    69           69    -1
9    Dancing Dora         6    54.5    9    16.25    0.0   55    60           60    +5
99   Purple Powahouse     8    51.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     54           54    +0
99   Cotton Ron           6    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Indecent Proposal 61 65 66 -1 0.0 -
2 Kotinos Line 65 59 65 -6 2.5
3 Happy Wanderer 57 55 62 -7 0.0 -
4 Now I Got You 70 67 67 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 One Irish Rover 68 65 65 ✓ Match 0.0 -
6 Double Olympic 59 53 64 -11 0.0 -
7 Send Me 70 64 62 +2 2.5 -
8 Priceless Pearl 70 64 69 -5 1.5 -
9 Dancing Dora 55 53 60 -7 0.0 -
99 Purple Powahouse - 55 54 +1 0.0 -
99 Cotton Ron - 59 64 -5 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points