Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: LUCKY LAD (2024) CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Kotinos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Indecent Proposal 4 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 61 66 66 +5 2 Kotinos 3 59.5 2 1.60 2.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Happy Wanderer 5 55.5 3 2.60 0.0 57 62 62 +5 4 Now I Got You 5 58.0 4 3.70 0.0 70 67 67 -3 5 One Irish Rover 5 57.0 5 4.00 0.0 68 65 65 -3 6 Double Olympic 4 56.5 6 4.05 0.0 59 64 64 +5 7 Send Me 3 58.0 7 5.25 2.5 70 62 62 -8 8 Priceless Pearl 2 60.5 8 9.95 1.5 70 69 69 -1 9 Dancing Dora 6 54.5 9 16.25 0.0 55 60 60 +5 99 Purple Powahouse 8 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 54 54 +0 99 Cotton Ron 6 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indecent Proposal | 61 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kotinos Line | 65 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Happy Wanderer | 57 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Now I Got You | 70 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | One Irish Rover | 68 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Double Olympic | 59 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Send Me | 70 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Priceless Pearl | 70 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dancing Dora | 55 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Purple Powahouse | - | 55 | 54 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cotton Ron | - | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points