Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: CHAMPION SPRINTER (1000-1200m): WILLIAM ROBERTSON PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Quantum Theory
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buffalo Storm Cody 3 58.0 1 0.00 2.0 110 104 104 -6 2 Quantum Theory 5 58.0 2 0.20 0.0 108 108 108 +0 3 Gimmeanotherchance 4 56.0 3 4.40 2.5 105 99 99 -6 4 Dreamland 4 58.0 4 4.70 2.5 108 103 103 -5 5 Cian The Conqueror 5 54.0 5 5.20 0.0 82 100 100 +18 6 Ready To Charge 2 60.0 6 5.60 1.0 110 110 110 +0 7 Yamadori 4 56.0 7 6.30 2.5 102 99 99 -3 8 Dantonfromsandton 3 58.0 8 6.80 2.0 108 104 104 -4 9 Troppo Veloce 2 54.5 9 8.80 1.0 105 99 99 -6 10 Grand Crescendo 3 58.0 10 9.10 2.0 108 104 104 -4 99 Sheldon 6 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 104 104 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Storm Cody | 110 | 132 | 104 | +28 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quantum Theory Line | 108 | 112 | 108 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Gimmeanotherchance | 105 | 96 | 99 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Dreamland | 108 | 103 | 103 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Cian The Conqueror | 82 | 81 | 100 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ready To Charge | 110 | 110 | 110 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Yamadori | 102 | 97 | 99 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Dantonfromsandton | 108 | 96 | 104 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Troppo Veloce | 105 | 104 | 99 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Grand Crescendo | 108 | 107 | 104 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sheldon | - | 106 | 104 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points