Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 5 JUNE FM 90 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Great Notion
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Exceedingly Glam 3 54.5 1 0.00 2.0 80 81 80 +0 2 Blizzard Snow 3 56.0 2 0.60 2.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Great Notion 3 54.0 3 0.80 2.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Quasikat 3 55.5 4 1.00 2.0 83 83 83 +0 5 Whirlybird 2 55.0 5 1.40 1.0 80 84 84 +4 6 Alesia's Love 4 57.5 6 2.10 2.5 85 86 86 +1 7 Maverick Queen 3 54.0 7 3.00 2.0 80 80 80 +0 8 Hong Kong 3 56.5 8 3.10 2.0 85 85 85 +0 9 Raining Rubies 5 53.0 9 6.30 0.0 76 82 82 +6 10 Kindred Heart 3 60.0 10 7.60 2.0 92 92 92 +0 11 Pointer 3 59.0 11 8.90 2.0 95 90 90 -5 99 Simply Majestic 3 57.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 87 87 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Exceedingly Glam | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Blizzard Snow | 84 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Great Notion Line | 80 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Quasikat | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Whirlybird | 80 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Alesia's Love | 85 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Maverick Queen | 80 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hong Kong | 85 | 93 | 85 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Raining Rubies | 76 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kindred Heart | 92 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pointer | 95 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Simply Majestic | - | 85 | 87 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points