Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: CHAMPION BREEDER: VARSFONTEIN STUD FM 80 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Quantum
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warning Sound 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 80 71 80 +0 2 Boom Boom 4 58.5 2 0.90 0.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Quantum 5 56.5 3 3.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Future Date 2 58.5 4 3.50 0.0 80 75 75 -5 5 Play With Fire 4 59.5 5 4.60 0.5 79 75 75 -4 6 Rattle Bag 6 57.5 6 5.40 0.0 75 72 72 -3 7 The Mightiest 3 58.5 7 5.90 1.5 80 71 71 -9 8 Messalina 3 54.5 8 8.15 1.5 75 63 65 -10 9 Gregarious 3 61.0 9 8.90 1.5 85 76 76 -9 10 Flamboyant Flyer 4 58.5 10 25.50 0.5 77 73 73 -4 99 Glamorous Lady 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warning Sound | 80 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Boom Boom | 77 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Quantum Line | 72 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Future Date | 80 | 93 | 75 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Play With Fire | 79 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Rattle Bag | 75 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Mightiest | 80 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Messalina | 75 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Gregarious | 85 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Flamboyant Flyer | 77 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Glamorous Lady | - | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points