Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING MONDAY 23 JUNE FM 90 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Future Date
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ceuta                4    61.0    1    0.00     0.5   92    93           92    +0
2    Accept Cookies       3    55.5    2    2.50     1.5   84    82           82    -2
3    Future Date          2    53.5    3    3.60     0.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Palace Dancer        3    58.5    4    4.10     1.5   90    87           87    -3
5    Too Late My Mate     3    58.5    5    5.80     1.5   90    86           86    -4
6    Twostep Queen        2    57.5    6    7.20     0.0   88    87           87    -1
7    Mountain High        3    57.0    7    7.40     1.5   87    83           83    -4
8    Say It With Roses    3    52.5    8    8.90     1.5   83    74           74    -9
9    We Will Rock You     3    54.5    9    9.20     1.5   82    78           78    -4
10   Hillary Step         3    56.0    10   15.70    1.5   85    81           81    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ceuta 92 97 92 +5 0.5 -
2 Accept Cookies 84 94 82 +12 1.5 -
3 Future Date Line 80 93 80 +13 0.0
4 Palace Dancer 90 88 87 +1 1.5 -
5 Too Late My Mate 90 81 86 -5 1.5 -
6 Twostep Queen 88 101 87 +14 0.0 -
7 Mountain High 87 82 83 -1 1.5 -
8 Say It With Roses 83 77 74 +3 1.5 -
9 We Will Rock You 82 77 78 -1 1.5 -
10 Hillary Step 85 82 81 +1 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points