Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

Line Horse
Ethereal View
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Papillon Blu         3    56.0    1    0.00     2.0   74    74           74    +0
2    Ethereal View        3    58.0    2    2.00     2.0   78    78           78    +0
3    Princess Goldie      3    56.0    3    2.80     2.0   74    74           74    +0
4    She's A Machine      2    60.0    4    2.90     1.0   82    84           84    +2
5    Rugger Lover         2    57.0    5    3.60     1.0   74    78           78    +4
6    Buttercup Baby       3    59.5    6    3.90     2.0   81    81           81    +0
7    Ladybug              3    60.5    7    4.20     2.0   81    83           83    +2
8    Blind Speed          2    58.0    8    4.25     1.0   78    80           80    +2
9    Icy Lancaster        3    61.0    9    4.30     2.0   84    84           84    +0
10   Mamas Baby           4    56.0    10   5.10     2.5   72    73           73    +1
11   Avernian Goddess     3    60.0    11   6.00     2.0   82    82           82    +0
12   Green Valkyrie       4    57.0    12   23.80    2.5   74    75           75    +1
99   Blush Of Dawn        8    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     70           70    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Papillon Blu 74 84 74 +10 2.0 -
2 Ethereal View Line 78 68 78 -10 2.0
3 Princess Goldie 74 73 74 -1 2.0 -
4 She's A Machine 82 85 84 +1 1.0 -
5 Rugger Lover 74 79 78 +1 1.0 -
6 Buttercup Baby 81 98 81 +17 2.0 -
7 Ladybug 81 80 83 -3 2.0 -
8 Blind Speed 78 65 80 -15 1.0 -
9 Icy Lancaster 84 76 84 -8 2.0 -
10 Mamas Baby 72 65 73 -8 2.5 -
11 Avernian Goddess 82 91 82 +9 2.0 -
12 Green Valkyrie 74 74 75 -1 2.5 -
99 Blush Of Dawn - 64 70 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points