Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Ethereal View
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Papillon Blu 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 74 74 74 +0 2 Ethereal View 3 58.0 2 2.00 2.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Princess Goldie 3 56.0 3 2.80 2.0 74 74 74 +0 4 She's A Machine 2 60.0 4 2.90 1.0 82 84 84 +2 5 Rugger Lover 2 57.0 5 3.60 1.0 74 78 78 +4 6 Buttercup Baby 3 59.5 6 3.90 2.0 81 81 81 +0 7 Ladybug 3 60.5 7 4.20 2.0 81 83 83 +2 8 Blind Speed 2 58.0 8 4.25 1.0 78 80 80 +2 9 Icy Lancaster 3 61.0 9 4.30 2.0 84 84 84 +0 10 Mamas Baby 4 56.0 10 5.10 2.5 72 73 73 +1 11 Avernian Goddess 3 60.0 11 6.00 2.0 82 82 82 +0 12 Green Valkyrie 4 57.0 12 23.80 2.5 74 75 75 +1 99 Blush Of Dawn 8 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papillon Blu | 74 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ethereal View Line | 78 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Princess Goldie | 74 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | She's A Machine | 82 | 85 | 84 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rugger Lover | 74 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Buttercup Baby | 81 | 98 | 81 | +17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ladybug | 81 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blind Speed | 78 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Icy Lancaster | 84 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mamas Baby | 72 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Avernian Goddess | 82 | 91 | 82 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Green Valkyrie | 74 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Blush Of Dawn | - | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points