Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 65 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Swiss Bank
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Rosa 4 50.5 1 0.00 1.0 54 42 54 +0 2 Winter's Destiny 3 59.0 2 0.20 2.0 68 57 58 -10 3 Swiss Bank 4 59.0 3 1.20 1.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Flower Season 5 57.5 4 1.40 0.0 60 61 61 +1 5 Mel's Princess 3 60.0 5 2.15 2.0 70 62 62 -8 6 Leopard Lady 4 57.0 6 2.25 1.0 59 58 58 -1 7 Kildonan Bay 5 57.5 7 2.40 0.0 60 60 60 +0 8 Miss Lialah 4 54.5 8 2.80 1.0 54 52 52 -2 9 Capriccio 5 57.5 9 3.55 0.0 60 59 59 -1 10 Royal Kitty 5 57.5 10 3.75 0.0 60 59 59 -1 11 One Bite At A Time 3 60.0 11 5.55 2.0 70 59 60 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Rosa | 54 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter's Destiny | 68 | 86 | 58 | +28 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Swiss Bank Line | 63 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Flower Season | 60 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mel's Princess | 70 | 77 | 62 | +15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Leopard Lady | 59 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kildonan Bay | 60 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Miss Lialah | 54 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Capriccio | 60 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Royal Kitty | 60 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | One Bite At A Time | 70 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points