Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB.CO.ZA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Eiger Sanction
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aladdin's Lamp 4 61.0 1 0.00 1.0 82 79 82 +0 2 Eiger Sanction 3 60.5 2 2.10 2.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Dual Prophecy 3 56.5 3 2.50 2.0 73 72 72 -1 4 War Reporter 3 56.0 4 2.90 2.0 76 70 70 -6 5 Trident King 3 59.0 5 4.40 2.0 78 74 74 -4 6 Diesel's Shadow 4 60.5 6 5.70 1.0 81 78 78 -3 7 Order Of Hope 3 59.0 7 6.20 2.0 82 73 73 -9 8 Rosy Lemon 5 54.0 8 6.50 0.0 68 67 67 -1 9 Arlington Action 6 55.0 9 6.80 0.0 75 69 69 -6 10 Casus Belli 3 59.5 10 10.05 2.0 83 74 74 -9 11 Coming In Hot 3 60.0 11 11.30 2.0 80 75 75 -5 12 Salute The Flag 3 62.0 12 16.05 2.0 84 79 79 -5 13 Safe Space 5 61.5 13 19.80 0.0 83 82 82 -1 99 Ideal Future 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aladdin's Lamp | 82 | 106 | 82 | +24 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Eiger Sanction Line | 81 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Dual Prophecy | 73 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | War Reporter | 76 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trident King | 78 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Diesel's Shadow | 81 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Order Of Hope | 82 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rosy Lemon | 68 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Arlington Action | 75 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Casus Belli | 83 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Coming In Hot | 80 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Salute The Flag | 84 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Safe Space | 83 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ideal Future | - | 72 | 63 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points