Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 26 JUNE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Bumps Last Grind
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ready Set Fire 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 84 77 77 -7 2 Bumps Last Grind 2 60.0 2 3.90 1.0 77 77 77 +0 3 Safe Travel 2 57.0 3 5.40 1.0 - 71 71 +71 4 Ringho 4 60.0 4 7.70 2.5 63 74 74 +11 5 Summer Shade 4 60.0 5 8.95 2.5 54 74 74 +20 6 Iconic Winter 2 57.5 6 10.25 1.0 - 72 72 +72 7 Jet Querari 3 60.0 7 11.50 2.0 73 75 75 +2 8 Old Fashioned 3 60.0 8 16.50 2.0 69 75 75 +6 9 King Bluetooth 2 57.0 9 23.75 1.0 - 71 71 +71 99 Inspector James 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ready Set Fire | 84 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bumps Last Grind Line | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Safe Travel | - | 89 | 71 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ringho | 63 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Summer Shade | 54 | 52 | 74 | -22 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Iconic Winter | - | 68 | 72 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Querari | 73 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Old Fashioned | 69 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | King Bluetooth | - | 53 | 71 | -18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Inspector James | - | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points