Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: RACE COAST - BRIGHT FUTURE FOR SA HORSE RACING CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Preemptive Strike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mister Nibbles       3    58.5    1    0.00     1.0   80    73           73    -7
2    Star Of The Future   3    57.0    2    0.40     1.0   74    75           75    +1
3    Preemptive Strike    4    57.5    3    2.20     0.5   75    75           75    +0
4    Givethatmanabells    4    55.5    4    2.25     0.5   71    71           71    +0
5    Winter Waves         7    58.0    5    2.55     0.0   76    76           76    +0
6    Nocturnal Flight     3    57.0    6    3.15     1.0   74    72           72    -2
7    Moola Man            4    62.0    7    3.45     0.5   84    82           82    -2
8    Bom Bom              4    55.0    8    3.75     0.5   70    68           68    -2
9    Prince Florian       3    58.0    9    8.55     1.0   79    72           72    -7
99   Knight Warrior       5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mister Nibbles 80 81 73 +8 1.0 -
2 Star Of The Future 74 78 75 +3 1.0 -
3 Preemptive Strike Line 75 70 75 -5 0.5
4 Givethatmanabells 71 70 71 -1 0.5 -
5 Winter Waves 76 77 76 +1 0.0 -
6 Nocturnal Flight 74 72 72 ✓ Match 1.0 -
7 Moola Man 84 75 82 -7 0.5 -
8 Bom Bom 70 64 68 -4 0.5 -
9 Prince Florian 79 73 72 +1 1.0 -
99 Knight Warrior - 74 78 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points