Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Voldemort
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rooster Bradshaw     3    56.5    1    0.00     1.0   76    68           68    -8
2    Voldemort            6    61.5    2    2.10     0.0   83    83           83    +0
3    Now I Got You        5    52.5    3    3.10     0.0   70    64           64    -6
4    Global Impact        2    56.0    4    3.60     0.0   72    70           70    -2
5    Victor Hugo          3    59.0    5    4.60     1.0   81    73           73    -8
6    Lord Wylie           7    54.5    6    5.00     0.0   69    66           66    -3
7    Heaven's Will        3    52.5    7    5.30     1.0   73    60           63    -10
8    River Dance          3    56.0    8    6.30     1.0   75    67           67    -8
9    The Ghost            2    60.0    9    7.20     0.0   83    77           77    -6
99   Notable              2    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rooster Bradshaw 76 78 68 +10 1.0 -
2 Voldemort Line 83 81 83 -2 0.0
3 Now I Got You 70 67 64 +3 0.0 -
4 Global Impact 72 74 70 +4 0.0 -
5 Victor Hugo 81 79 73 +6 1.0 -
6 Lord Wylie 69 69 66 +3 0.0 -
7 Heaven's Will 73 62 63 -1 1.0 -
8 River Dance 75 68 67 +1 1.0 -
9 The Ghost 83 72 77 -5 0.0 -
99 Notable - 84 78 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points