Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Viva De Janeiro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Clarkson 4 59.0 1 0.00 0.5 68 64 68 +0 2 Viva De Janeiro 5 54.5 2 2.10 0.0 59 59 59 +0 3 Coppola 4 60.5 3 2.30 0.5 71 69 69 -2 4 Guerilla Warfare 3 60.5 4 2.70 1.5 74 67 67 -7 5 Unsolved Riddle 3 61.0 5 3.20 1.5 72 68 68 -4 6 Spy Story 3 61.0 6 3.50 1.5 75 67 67 -8 7 Panning Gold 3 62.5 7 6.50 1.5 78 69 69 -9 8 Vava Vegas 5 54.5 8 8.00 0.0 67 56 57 -10 9 Circle Of Grace 4 54.0 9 8.50 0.5 61 54 54 -7 99 Count Your Chances 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Sovereigns Call 4 63.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarkson | 68 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Viva De Janeiro Line | 59 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Coppola | 71 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Guerilla Warfare | 74 | 75 | 67 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Unsolved Riddle | 72 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Spy Story | 75 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Panning Gold | 78 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Vava Vegas | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Circle Of Grace | 61 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Count Your Chances | - | 51 | 56 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sovereigns Call | - | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points