Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: DURBAN JULY VIEWING PARTY 5 JULY FM 79 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Gaelic Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Faithful Neo 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.0 73 73 73 +0 2 Gaelic Dancer 3 54.0 2 0.50 2.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Predatrice 3 55.5 3 1.40 2.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Beaded Gown 3 52.0 4 2.90 2.0 58 65 65 +7 5 Second Breath 2 60.0 5 3.15 1.0 79 83 83 +4 6 Gimmeforsure 2 53.5 6 3.75 1.0 83 70 73 -10 7 Just Jazzed Up 3 57.5 7 5.75 2.0 76 76 76 +0 8 Panthera Uncia 3 54.5 8 6.75 2.0 70 70 70 +0 9 Together Again 5 48.0 9 6.80 0.0 56 61 61 +5 10 Montana Lights 2 60.0 10 11.00 1.0 81 83 83 +2 11 Wings Of Nike 6 55.5 11 14.50 0.0 70 76 76 +6 12 Omnipotent 3 57.5 12 17.75 2.0 79 76 76 -3 99 We Will Rock You 3 59.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faithful Neo | 73 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gaelic Dancer Line | 69 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Predatrice | 72 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Beaded Gown | 58 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Second Breath | 79 | 79 | 83 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimmeforsure | 83 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Just Jazzed Up | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Panthera Uncia | 70 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Together Again | 56 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Montana Lights | 81 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Wings Of Nike | 70 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Omnipotent | 79 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | We Will Rock You | - | 77 | 79 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points