Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 6 JULY MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mariachi Madness
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ensuing 2 63.0 1 0.00 1.0 76 76 76 +0 2 Prized Platinum 3 56.5 2 1.00 2.0 63 61 61 -2 3 Mariachi Madness 2 55.5 3 4.20 1.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Phala Millions 4 56.0 4 4.45 2.5 62 59 59 -3 5 Life Goes On 7 53.0 5 4.55 0.0 56 58 58 +2 6 Tokyo Medaglia 3 61.0 6 7.55 2.0 77 70 70 -7 7 Bregardt 4 52.0 7 10.55 2.5 52 51 51 -1 8 Across The Bow 3 58.0 8 10.80 2.0 66 64 64 -2 9 Pacific 4 54.5 9 12.50 2.5 59 56 56 -3 10 Circus Lights 5 58.0 10 12.55 0.0 66 68 68 +2 11 Gimme A Storm 3 61.0 11 12.75 2.0 74 70 70 -4 12 Si Veloce 4 48.0 12 14.25 2.5 52 43 43 -9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ensuing | 76 | 87 | 76 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Prized Platinum | 63 | 72 | 61 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mariachi Madness Line | 61 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Phala Millions | 62 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Life Goes On | 56 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tokyo Medaglia | 77 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bregardt | 52 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Across The Bow | 66 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pacific | 59 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Circus Lights | 66 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gimme A Storm | 74 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Si Veloce | 52 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points