Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: DURBAN JULY VIEWING PARTY 5 JULY NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Beynac
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Last Car To Pass 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.0 83 78 78 -5 2 Beynac 2 58.5 2 2.25 0.0 86 86 86 +0 3 Enflame 3 55.0 3 4.15 1.0 79 75 75 -4 4 Oklahoma Twister 4 52.0 4 4.90 0.5 60 69 69 +9 5 Key News 2 60.5 5 5.65 0.0 90 87 87 -3 6 Sky Pillar Rock 3 54.0 6 7.40 1.0 77 72 72 -5 7 Kissing Machine 3 56.0 7 7.80 1.0 79 76 76 -3 8 Robert Browning 3 52.0 8 8.55 1.0 73 68 68 -5 9 Crepuscolo 4 52.0 9 8.80 0.5 63 69 69 +6 10 Guerilla Warfare 3 52.5 10 10.40 1.0 74 69 69 -5 11 Ichacha 3 52.5 11 10.45 1.0 79 69 69 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Last Car To Pass | 83 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beynac Line | 86 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Enflame | 79 | 98 | 75 | +23 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Oklahoma Twister | 60 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Key News | 90 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sky Pillar Rock | 77 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kissing Machine | 79 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Robert Browning | 73 | 87 | 68 | +19 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Crepuscolo | 63 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Guerilla Warfare | 74 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ichacha | 79 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points