Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WALMER HANDICAP (For Fillies and Mares - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
State Secret
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bosnay 4 52.0 1 0.00 0.5 75 77 75 +0 2 Honorable Member 3 58.5 2 1.25 1.5 93 92 92 -1 3 State Secret 2 53.0 3 2.00 0.0 83 83 83 +0 4 Call To Glory (GB) 5 55.0 4 3.25 0.0 84 86 86 +2 5 First Wish 3 57.0 5 4.00 1.5 91 86 86 -5 6 Vihaan's Queen 4 57.5 6 6.75 0.5 89 88 88 -1 7 Lotus Island 2 59.0 7 10.25 0.0 95 92 92 -3 8 Grandi Orecchie 2 57.5 8 12.25 0.0 89 89 89 +0 9 Gideon's Daughter 4 60.0 9 14.50 0.5 94 93 93 -1 10 As Fate Has It 4 57.0 10 99.92 0.5 88 87 87 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bosnay | 75 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Honorable Member | 93 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | State Secret Line | 83 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Call To Glory (GB) | 84 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | First Wish | 91 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Vihaan's Queen | 89 | 89 | 88 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lotus Island | 95 | 93 | 92 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Grandi Orecchie | 89 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gideon's Daughter | 94 | 94 | 93 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | As Fate Has It | 88 | 88 | 87 | +1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points