Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 12 JULY MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Exceedingly Glam
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ensuing              2    59.0    1    0.00     0.5   82    85           82    +0
2    Cian The Conqueror   5    59.0    2    1.75     0.0   82    86           86    +4
3    Biofarmer            4    59.0    3    3.00     2.0   82    82           82    +0
4    Exceedingly Glam     3    60.0    4    3.10     1.5   85    85           85    +0
5    Espinoza             3    61.0    5    3.40     1.5   87    87           87    +0
6    Plus Four            2    60.5    6    3.90     0.5   85    88           88    +3
7    Wings Within Me      4    62.0    7    6.90     2.0   88    88           88    +0
8    Hair Trigger         2    57.0    8    7.65     0.5   79    81           81    +2
9    Aussenkehr           2    60.0    9    16.75    0.5   84    87           87    +3
99   Hemisphere           3    55.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     76           76    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ensuing 82 87 82 +5 0.5 -
2 Cian The Conqueror 82 81 86 -5 0.0 -
3 Biofarmer 82 78 82 -4 2.0 -
4 Exceedingly Glam Line 85 78 85 -7 1.5
5 Espinoza 87 97 87 +10 1.5 -
6 Plus Four 85 87 88 -1 0.5 -
7 Wings Within Me 88 88 88 ✓ Match 2.0 -
8 Hair Trigger 79 76 81 -5 0.5 -
9 Aussenkehr 84 79 87 -8 0.5 -
99 Hemisphere - 83 76 +7 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points