Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CONGRATULATIONS CANDICE DAWSON ON YOUR JULY DAY WINNER FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Valieva
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Thunder 4 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Time For Charity 5 52.0 2 0.70 0.0 61 65 65 +4 3 Valieva 3 57.5 3 1.20 1.5 73 73 73 +0 4 Lady Loxton 4 52.0 4 2.20 2.0 55 61 61 +6 5 Saigon Suzie 3 57.0 5 3.20 1.5 72 72 72 +0 6 Golden Aspen 6 56.0 6 4.40 0.0 69 73 73 +4 7 Blindfire 2 50.0 7 5.40 0.5 80 60 70 -10 8 Godspeed 2 53.5 8 6.20 0.5 64 67 67 +3 9 Oriental Bouquet 4 52.0 9 6.30 2.0 56 61 61 +5 10 World Heritage 2 52.0 10 7.30 0.5 48 64 64 +16 11 Sahara Dawn 4 48.0 11 8.60 2.0 56 53 53 -3 12 In The Ether 6 57.0 12 12.80 0.0 71 75 75 +4 13 We Will Rock You 3 59.0 13 14.00 1.5 79 76 76 -3 99 Lady Of Memphis 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Thunder | 70 | 83 | 70 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Time For Charity | 61 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Valieva Line | 73 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Lady Loxton | 55 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Saigon Suzie | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Aspen | 69 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blindfire | 80 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Godspeed | 64 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Oriental Bouquet | 56 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | World Heritage | 48 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sahara Dawn | 56 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | In The Ether | 71 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | We Will Rock You | 79 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Of Memphis | - | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points