Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CELEBRATING CENTURION MEMBER ETIENNE BRAUN'S BIRTHDAY CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Flying Finley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Escarpment 4 58.0 1 0.00 2.0 79 76 76 -3 2 Major Apollo 2 56.0 2 0.40 0.5 72 75 75 +3 3 Churchillian 2 61.0 3 1.15 0.5 97 85 87 -10 4 Flying Finley 3 63.5 4 1.90 1.5 88 88 88 +0 5 October Storm 2 56.5 5 2.20 0.5 88 76 78 -10 6 Bluff On Bluff 3 61.0 6 3.95 1.5 82 83 83 +1 7 Shifting Path 2 57.0 7 4.05 0.5 74 77 77 +3 8 Barney Mcgrew 4 58.0 8 6.30 2.0 76 76 76 +0 9 Night Tiger 5 56.5 9 9.30 0.0 73 77 77 +4 10 Cavalry Commander 3 60.0 10 11.05 1.5 81 81 81 +0 99 Ireland Forever 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escarpment | 79 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Major Apollo | 72 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Churchillian | 97 | 95 | 87 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Flying Finley Line | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | October Storm | 88 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bluff On Bluff | 82 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Shifting Path | 74 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Barney Mcgrew | 76 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Night Tiger | 73 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Cavalry Commander | 81 | 76 | 81 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ireland Forever | - | 88 | 73 | +15 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points